Wednesday, November 18, 2015

FOOTBALL NEWS AFTER WEEK TEN

FROM THE DESK OF THE “FUGITIVE” COMMISSIONER

Hello Football Fans,

The underdogs had a feast in the NFL last weekend.


In college, eight of the Top 25 teams lost again for the second week in a row.

Enjoy,

The Fugitive Commissioner of the FFHL, scavenging for the real one-armed man


UPSET OF THE WEEK


A big favorite went down for the count last weekend…. in Melbourne, Australia – Ronda Rousey took a karate kick to the head and was knocked out in the 2nd round of her UFC#193 championship fight against Holly Holm. Rousy was roughly a 1-to-10 favorite (-1000) and Holm was the 8-1 underdog (+800).

NFL

NFL RECORD EXTENDED

After Week #9 of the 2015 season, it was the first time in league history that there were three 8-0 teams. After Week #10, there were only TWO undefeated teams (NE and CAR at 9-0), since Cincy lost on Monday night.

UNDERDOGS RULE
But the bigger story for Week #10 is that TEN underdogs won outright in 14 games, meaning that only four favorites won their games straight up (ignoring the point spread).
Amazing!

NFL ACTION – UNDERDOG WINNERS

TEN underdogs won outright in 14 NFL games this week for an upset rate of 71.4% (38.5% the previous week). Be wary of betting on NFL favorites, my fellow handicappers.

On Thursday night, Buffalo (+2h) won at NY Jets, 22-17.

On Sunday:
Detroit (+11) won at Green Bay, 18-16, for their first win at Lambeau Field since 1991. Crazy finish: GB scores TD, misses 2-pointer, gets onside kick at 0:25, misses FG.

Chicago (+6h) won convincingly at St. Louis, 37-13. The Rams will change starting QB for Week #11 from Nick Foles to Case Keenum.

Washington (+1) soundly beat visiting New Orleans, 47-14. Saints DC is fired.

Miami (+5h) won at Philadelphia, 20-19, after the E’gals had taken a 16-3 lead in the 1st quarter. PHI QB Bradford was injured and out in 3rd quarter, replaced by Mark Sanchez.

Jacksonville (+6) won at Baltimore, 22-20, and the Jaguars snapped their 13-game road losing streak. A bonehead facemask penalty on QB (in the pocket) by Raven’s DE Elvis Dumervil on the last play of regulation allowed one last untimed play for the Jags – the winning 53-yard FG.

Minnesota (+3) won at Oakland, 30-14, to take sole possession of the NFC North lead.

Kansas City (+5h) won at Denver, 29-13. Broncos’ QB Manning is replaced in 3rd quarter with backup Brock Osweiler.


Arizona (+3) won at Seattle, 39-32, another game with a relatively exciting finish.

On Monday night, Houston (+11) won at Cincinnati, 10-6.

“NOT QUITE”

Even though there were only 4 favorites that won in Week #10, it could have been even worse (or better, depending on your perspective). New England (-7h) was near defeat several times at the NY Giants, but found a way to win straight up, 27-26.
The Giants led 23-17 after three quarters, but the Pats scored a TD early in the 4th quarter to take a 24-23 lead. New York regained the lead on a FG after driving 86 yards in 14 plays, leaving 1:47 on the clock (the Gnats had 1st-and-goal at the 5-yard line and scored a TD, but the call was “reversed” based on the messed-up “what is a reception” NFL rule, and they settled for the go-ahead FG). Not to be denied, the Patriots drove 44 yards in 12 plays that included a 4th-and-10 successful conversion from their own 20-yard line and a dropped interception by the Giants that would have clinched a victory for the home team. In the end, New England set up for a 54-yard game-winning FG with 6 seconds remaining in the game; the kick was up and …. hooking…. “good”, inside the left upright.

THE UNDEFEATED LEADERS

AFC EAST:
NEW ENGLAND (9-0) extended its lead over the NY Jets (5-4) and Buffalo (5-4) to four games after the Bills won at the Meadowlands over the Jets on Thursday night, 22-17. The Bills and Jets are currently tied for the 2nd wild card spot, one game ahead of Miami (4-5).

NFC SOUTH:
CAROLINA (9-0) won at Tennessee, 27-10, and the Panthers increased their lead to three games over idle Atlanta (6-3). However, the slumping Falcons currently hold one of the two wild card spots in the NFC.

THE OTHER DIVISIONS

AFC NORTH:
CINCINNATI (8-1) saw its lead shrink to 2½ games over Pittsburgh (6-4) after the Steelers beat Cleveland and QB Johnny Manziel 30-9 on Sunday while the Bengals lost on Monday night. The PIT Steelers currently hold the first wild card spot in the AFC.

AFC WEST
DENVER (7-2) lost its second game in a row in ugly fashion on Sunday, 29-13, to visiting Kansas City (4-5), but the Broncos still have a big 3-game lead in the division over the Chiefs and Oakland (4-5), who lost at home to the MIN Vikings in Week #10.

The Hapless AFC SOUTH (all teams below .500):
The mediocre Indianapolis Colts (4-5) and the mediocre Houston Texans (4-5) are now tied for the division lead after Houston won at Cincinnati on Monday night. Jacksonville (3-6) is only one game back and cellar dweller Tennessee (2-7) is only two games out and still contending in the divisional race.

NFC NORTH:
MINNESOTA (7-2) won at Oakland, 30-14, on Sunday and captured a one-game lead in the division over Green Bay (6-3), who lost their third straight game – this time at home to the Detroit Lions, 18-16.
The GB Packers play at Minnesota in Week #11 (Nov. 22nd) and then the Vikings must travel to Green Bay for a rematch in the Week #17 regular season finale on January 3rd.

NFC EAST (no team over .500)
The NY Football Giants (5-5) retained the division lead by ½ game over Philadelphia (4-5), as both teams lost on Sunday. But wait…Washington (4-5) has entered the picture in the mediocre East Division of the NFC, winning on Sunday to move within ½ game of the Gnats after Week #10. Cellar dweller Dallas (2-7) is still only 2½ games behind NYG and QB Tony Romo is scheduled to return on Sunday at Miami.

NFC WEST
Arizona (7-2) extended its division lead to three games after defeating the SEA Seahawks (4-5) in Seattle, 39-32, in Week #10. The STL Rams (4-5) lost at home to Chicago, 37-13, and are also three games behind.

COLLEGE
There were plenty of upsets again last weekend, and for the second straight week eight of the AP Top 25 teams lost.

Three Top 25 teams from the PAC-12 Conference lost last Saturday, including FBS#7 Stanford losing at home to Oregon 38-36.

The number of undefeated teams is now down to FIVE, since previously unbeaten FBS#4 Baylor lost at home to FBS#12 Oklahoma, 44-34.

FBS ACTION – UNDERDOG WINNERS

This week FIFTEEN underdogs won outright in 58 FBS games for an upset rate of 25.9% (25.0% last week).

FIRST LOSS OF SEASON
FCS#12 Oklahoma (+2h) won at FCS#4 Baylor, 44-34, and moved up to #7 in the AP Poll; with their first loss of the season, the BU Bears dropped to AP#10.

PAC-12
Oregon (+10) won at AP#7 Stanford, 38-36.

Washington State (+10h) won at AP#18 UCLA, 31-27, knocking the Bruins out of the Top 25 while the WSU Cougars entered the AP rankings for the first time this season at #24.

Arizona (+6) beat visiting AP#10 Utah, 37-30 in double overtime.

SHOCKER OF THE WEEK
New Mexico (+30h) won at Boise State, 31-24.

OTHER UNDERDOG WINNERS:
On Thursday night, Virginia Tech (+2) won at Georgia Tech, 23-21.

South Florida (+2h) beat visiting AP#21 Temple, 44-23, and knocked the Owls out of the Top 25.

Missouri (+7) beat BYU at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, 20-16. Amid all of the University of Missouri upheaval, UM Tigers’ head coach Gary Pinkel announced his resignation effective at the end of the season.

Arkansas (+7) won convincingly at AP#9 LSU, 31-14.

Georgia (+1) won at Auburn, 20-13.

Pittsburgh (+2h) won at Duke, 31-13.

Tulane (+2h) won at Army West Point, 34-31.

Fresno State (+5) won at Hawaii, 42-14, after the UH Rainbow Warriors switched head coaches.

Georgia State (+2h) won at Texas State, 41-19.

Air Force (+1) beat visiting Utah State, 35-28.

“NOT QUITE”
AP#25 Memphis (+7) nearly pulled off the “upset” on the road at AP#16 Houston, but the undefeated UH Cougars scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to prevail 35-34 and they moved up to AP#13.

Kansas (+45) was a huge underdog at AP#13 TCU, but had a chance to win late in the game at Fort Worth, TX. The Horned Frogs QB Trevone Boykin was knocked out of the game in the 1st quarter, but that shouldn’t have made much difference against the lowly Jayhawks.
FINAL: TCU 23, KU 17.

Iowa State (+14) was ahead of visiting AP#5 Oklahoma State, 24-7, during the first half and still led 31-21 after three quarters, but could not hold onto the lead and lost 35-31. The Cowboys remained unbeaten for the season and moved up to AP#4 (CFP#6).

On Friday night, Colorado (+16h) was ahead of visiting USC, 17-6 at halftime, but had lost its starting QB in the second quarter and had to use a freshman backup. The Trojans scored three unanswered TD’s after that and then held on for the victory in the frigid cold of Boulder, CO.
FINAL: USC 27, COL 24.

COLLEGE FBS RANKINGS

The CFP selection committee released its third set of rankings on Tuesday night. Once again, the final rankings on December 6th will be the only ones that matter.

TEAM (record) AP Rank Comment

#1 Clemson (10-0) #1 Plays Wake & at S.CAR; UNC in ACC title game
#2 Alabama (9-1) #3 Plays at Auburn & with win plays FL for SEC Title
#3 Ohio State (10-0) #2 Hosts Mich. St on Saturday; at Michigan 11/28
#4 Notre Dame (9-1) #5 Plays at Stanford Nov 28th
#5 Iowa (10-0) #6 Plays at Nebraska in regular season finale Nov 27th
#6 Oklahoma St (10-0) #4 Hosts Baylor & Oklahoma on Saturday & 11/28
#7 Oklahoma (9-1) #7 Tough finish: TCU on Saturday & then at OKLState
#8 Florida (9-1) #8 Hosts #14 FSU on Nov 28th
#9 Michigan St. (9-1) #9 Plays at #3 Ohio State on Saturday
#10 Baylor (8-1) #10 Tough schedule: at OK.St, at TCU
#11 Stanford (8-2) #15 Finishes with 2 at home: CAL and #4 Notre Dame
#12 Michigan (8-2) #14 Hosts #3 Ohio State on Nov 28th
#13 Utah (8-2) #18 Hosts UCLA on Saturday
#14 Florida State (8-2) #16 Plays at #8 Florida on Nov 28th
#15 LSU (7-2) #17 Plays at Ole Miss, then home vs. TX A&M
#16 Navy (8-1) #19 TOP GROUP OF FIVE team; plays at HOU 11/27
#17 North Carolina (9-1) #12 Only loss vs. S.CAR in Week #1 (neutral site)
#18 TCU (9-1) #11 Tough schedule: at OKL Nov 21st; Baylor Nov 27th
#19 Houston (10-0) #13 Hosts Navy Nov 27th
#20 Northwestern (8-2) #20 Plays at #25 Wisconsin on Saturday
#21 Memphis (8-2) #28 Plays at #21 Temple on Saturday
#22 Mississippi (7-3) #25 Hosts #15 LSU on Saturday; at Miss. St 11/28
#23 Oregon (7-3) #23 Hosts #24 USC on Saturday
#24 USC (7-3) #22 Plays at Oregon on Sat.; home vs. UCLA 11/28
#25 Wisconsin (8-2) #21 Hosts #20 Northwestern on Saturday

COMMENTS:
The Big XII Conference is still unsettled. Oklahoma State is the only undefeated team in the conference right now. Baylor and Oklahoma both play at OSU in the next two weeks.
TCU plays at Oklahoma on Saturday; the Horned Frogs may be without its Heisman candidate QB Trevone Boykin (ankle injury) and/or star WR Josh Doctson (wrist injury) – both are “questionable” for the game.

Independent Notre Dame is a likely CFP participant right now with only one loss (beaten at #1 Clemson 24-22); the Irish play at Stanford in their regular season finale.

The Big 10 Conference title game winner will play its way into the CFP playoffs… IF it’s either Iowa or Ohio State, one of whom emerges unbeaten for the season. Otherwise, the Big 10 could get left out of the CFP this year.

The SEC Title game winner will probably play its way into the CFP playoffs (projecting Alabama from the West to face Florida from the East, and the one-loss winner will be “in”).

The ACC title game winner may get into the CFP playoffs. If Clemson goes undefeated, they will obviously be “in”. If North Carolina beats Clemson and is the one-loss ACC champion, the Tar Heels may slip into the Top 4, but it will depend on the other one-loss teams (Notre Dame; maybe Oklahoma from the Big XII).

For both the AP Sportswriters’ Poll and the USA Today Coaches Poll, the Top 12 teams are exactly the same, in the exact same order. And, both polls have the same twenty-five Top 25 teams (in a slightly different order).

For both the AP Poll and the CFP rankings, the Top 10 are the same teams, with only a slightly different order. After that, the order is quite dissimilar, although the CFP rankings have 24 of the 25 teams that are included in the AP Top 25; only AP#24 Washington State was left out of the CFP Top 25 (Memphis not in AP Top 25).

ASSOCIATED PRESS POLL DETAIL
In the latest AP Top 25 rankings, there are only five remaining undefeated teams (after Baylor lost last weekend).

EIGHT teams in last week’s AP Top 25 lost over the weekend, and four of them fell out of the Top 25:
RANKED NEW-
TEAM RESULTS RANKING
#4 Baylor Home loss to #12 Oklahoma, 44-34 #10 [OKL#7]
#7 Stanford Home loss to Oregon, 38-36 #15 [OREG#23]
#9 LSU Home loss to Arkansas, 31-14 #17
#10 Utah Lost at Arizona, 37-30 in double OT #18
#18 UCLA Home loss to Washington State, 31-27 OUT [WSU#24]
#20 Mississippi State Home loss to #3 Alabama OUT [ALA#3}
#21 Temple Lost at South Florida, 44-23 OUT
#25 Memphis Lost at #16 Houston, 35-34 OUT [HOU#13]
That means four teams moved INTO the Top 25:
New #22 USC (7-3)
New #23 Oregon (7-3)
New #24 Washington State (7-3)
New #25 Mississippi (7-3)

The breakout of votes for the #1 ranking in the polls (with last week’s #1 votes in parentheses):
AP# Rank & Ranking in

TEAM AP Poll Coaches Poll Coaches Poll
#1 Clemson 34 (31) 28 (21) #1 Unbeaten
#2 Ohio State 23 (26) 32 (34) #2 Unbeaten
#3 Alabama 4 (2) 4 (3) #3 One home loss to Ole Miss
#4 Oklahoma State 0 (0) 0 (0) #4 Unbeaten
#5 Notre Dame 0 (0) 0 (0) #5 One loss at Clemson
#6 Iowa 0 (0) 0 (0) #6 Unbeaten
#7 Oklahoma 0 (0) 0 (0) #7 One loss vs. Texas (neutral)
#8 Florida 0 (0) 0 (0) #8 One loss at LSU
#9 Michigan State 0 (0) 0 (0) #9 One loss at Nebraska
#10 Baylor 0 (2) 0 (5) #10 One home loss to Oklahoma
#11 TCU 0 (0) 0 (0) #11 One loss at OK State
#12 North Carolina 0 (0) 0 (0) #12 One loss to S.CAR (neutral)
#13 Houston 0 (0) 0 (0) #14 Unbeaten
#14 Michigan 0 (0) 0 (0) #13 Highest ranked 2-loss team
#15 Stanford 0 (0) 0 (0) #15 Two losses: NW, OREG

COLLEGE CONFERENCE RACES
SEC EAST:
Florida (7-1)

SEC WEST:
Alabama (6-1) has nearly clinched, but Ole Miss (4-2) could still win the division with wins against LSU and Mississippi State and a Crimson Tide loss at Auburn in the Iron Bowl. [ALA has tiebreaker over LSU (4-2) and Arkansas (4-2), but Mississippi has head-to-head tiebreaker over ‘Bama].

ACC ATLANTIC:
Clemson (7-0)

ACC COASTAL:
North Carolina (6-0) will win the division with 1 win in last 2 games: at VA.Tk; NC.St
Pittsburgh (5-1) is lurking.

BIG 10 WEST:
Iowa (6-0) needs 1 win in last 2 games: PURD, at NEB
Wisconsin (5-1) is lurking.

BIG 10 EAST:
Ohio State (6-0) has a one-game lead in the division, but still has to play Michigan State (5-1) and at Michigan (5-1).

PAC-12 NORTH:
Stanford (7-1) needs win vs. CAL or an Oregon (5-2) loss [home games USC, OR.St] in order to wrap up the division title.

PAC-12 SOUTH:
Utah and USC are tied at 5-2, with UCLA (4-3) one game back;

UTAH has home games vs. UCLA and Colorado

USC is at Oregon and then home vs. UCLA

BIG XII:
Four teams still have a shot.

OK State (7-0) Home games vs. Baylor and Oklahoma
Oklahoma (6-1) Home vs. TCU, then at OK State
TCU (6-1) at Oklahoma; then home vs. Baylor
Baylor (5-1) Road games at OK State and TCU; home vs. Texas

FCS UPDATE
The TOP NINE teams (and order) remained the same in the FCS rankings.

FCS#3 North Dakota State won at #21 Youngstown State, 27-24; YSU dropped out of the Top 25.
FCS#9 Chattanooga beat visiting FCS#20 The Citadel, 31-23

Results for OTHER TOP 25 matchups:
FCS#10 Eastern Washington lost at #22 Montana, 57-16, and dropped nine spots in the rankings; Montana moved up to FCS#17.

FCS#12 Richmond lost at Villanova, 21-20 and dropped four spots in the rankings.
FCS#13 Harvard lost to visiting Penn 35-25, suffering its first loss, and dropped eight spots in the rankings.
FCS#16 Portland State beat visiting FCS#15 Southern Utah, 24-23, and moved up five spots in the rankings; Southern Utah dropped to FCS#18.

The breakout of #1 rankings in the FCS Coaches Poll are listed below (with the #1 votes for the prior week in parentheses):

FCS TOP 9
#1 Jacksonville State (9-1) 24 (25)
#2 McNeese State (9-0) 2 (1)
#3 North Dakota State (8-2)
#4 Coastal Carolina (9-1)
#5 South Dakota State (8-2)
#6 Illinois State (8-2)
#7 William & Mary (8-2)
#8 Charleston Southern (9-1) Plays at FBS Alabama on Saturday
#9 Chattanooga (8-2) Plays at FBS Florida State on Saturday

Others:
#10 James Madison (8-2)
#11 Portland State (8-2)
#12 Sam Houston State (7-3)
#15 Northern Iowa (6-4) Moved up four spots from last week
#16 Richmond (7-2)
#17 Montana (6-4)
#18 Southern Utah (7-2)
#19 Eastern Washington (6-4)
#20 Northern Arizona (6-3)
#21 Harvard (8-1)
#24 The Citadel (7-3)

FFHL RESULTS – WEEK TEN
Overall, we FFHL’ers got clobbered due to the NFL underdogs and college road teams dominating; we posted a record of 28-56-0 ATS (33.3%). In the NFL, we posted a record of 12-21-0 ATS (36.4%); in college we were even worse at 16-35-0 ATS (31.4%). We selected only 16 underdogs and posted a stellar record of 12-4-0 ATS (75.0%). With the college ‘dogs, we were 7-3-0 ATS (70.0%) and with NFL ‘dogs we were 5-1-0 ATS (83.3%). That means our “favorites” picks were a horrible 16-52-0 ATS (23.5%).

FFHL LOP-SIDED and CONTESTED PICKS AGAINST THE SPREAD (ATS)
Listed below is a breakdown of some of our significant picks.
We had only five contrary picks in college out of 51 total picks.
We had only four contrary picks in the NFL out of 33 total picks.

ATS Picks
Team For-Against Result / Unsolicited comments

CAR Panthers -5 at TENN 6-0 WIN, Carolina stays unbeaten, 27-10
NE Patriots -7h at NYG 4-0 LOSS, New England wins only 27-26 to not cover
PHI Eagles -5h vs. MIAMI 3-0 LOSS, Philly collapses at home in loss, 20-19
GB Packers -11 vs. DET 3-0 LOSS, Green Bay suffers 3rd loss in a row, 18-16
CIN Bengals -11 vs. HOU 3-0 LOSS, Houston wins outright Monday night, 10-6
MIN Vikings (+3) at OAK 2-2 MINNESOTA wins outright, 30-14, to cover ATS
BAL Ravens (-6) vs. JAX 2-1 LOSS, Jaguars win outright in Baltimore, 22-20
Okla. State (-14) at Iowa St 5-0 LOSS, ISU Cyclones blew lead but lost only 35-31
Utah (-6) at Arizona 4-0 LOSS, Utes lose outright in double overtime, 37-30
Michigan (-13) at Indiana 4-0 LOSS, UM needed double OT just to win, 48-41
Temple (-2h) at USF 3-0 LOSS, South Florida stomps the TU Owls, 44-23
LSU (-7) vs. Arkansas 3-0 LOSS, ARK Hogs beat up LA State, 31-14
Baylor (-2h) vs. Oklahoma 2-1 LOSS, the BU Bears lose outright, 44-34
WA State (+10) at UCLA 2-1 WIN, the WSU Cougars win outright, 31-27

COLLEGE

This week – FFHL Week #10:

ATS STRAIGHT-UP
Record Record
FAVORITES 30-28-0 (51.7%) 43-15 (74.1%)
HOME TEAMS 24-33-0 (42.1%) 29-28 (50.9%)

There was one neutral site game: Missouri over BYU in KC, 20-16.

COLLEGE

CUMULATIVE after eleven weeks:
ATS STRAIGHT-UP

Record Record
FAVORITES 288-288-12 (50.0%) 464-124 (78.9%)
HOME TEAMS 261-304-10 (46.3%) 340-235 (59.1%)
The home teams continue to struggle ATS (46.3%).
The favorites are exactly 50% ATS after 11 weeks of college games, just the way the bookmakers like it.

NFL
In the 10th week:
ATS STRAIGHT-UP

Record Record
FAVORITES 3-11-0 (21.4%) 4-10 (28.6%)
HOME TEAMS 4-10-0 (28.6%) 3-11 (21.4%)
WOW! The underdogs and road teams really took charge this week.
Note: four teams had “byes”

NFL
CUMULATIVE after ten weeks:
ATS STRAIGHT-UP

Record Record
FAVORITES 61-79-6 (43.8%) 89-57 (61.0%)
HOME TEAMS 66-71-6 (48.3%) 79-64 (55.2%)
So far this year, the favorites are performing quite badly ATS (43.8%), mainly fueled by the Week #10 domination by the underdogs.
The underdogs have won 39% of all NFL games straight up, or about 2 of every 5 games.

LAS VEGAS
The Fugitive continued his search for the one-armed man last weekend, once again thinking (or hoping) the killer might show up at a sportsbook in Vegas. My picks in the FFHL pool were lousy at 2-5 ATS; we had to turn in our seven picks on Thursday night. But in Vegas, I must have learned something on Friday, because my bets for the weekend finished up 5-5 ATS [college 2-3, NFL 3-2] and I broke even, as follows:

Oklahoma State -13h at ISU LOSS; Cyclones should have won game SU
Texas +9 at W. Virginia LOSS; Mountaineers won 38-20 (turnovers)
Alabama -7h at Miss St WIN; finally I get an easy winner, 31-6
Utah -6 at Arizona LOSS; UA Wildcats win SU in 2OT 37-30
Baylor/Oklahoma OVER 76.5 WIN-barely, late TD on 4th down, 44-34
Sooners win and 78 total points scored

2-team teaser: PHI (Pk)/STL-1 LOSER: both favorites lost SU
Baltimore -6 vs. JAX LOSER: Jaguars won SU, 22-20
Carolina -4 at TENN WINNER; Panthers win 27-10
Washington (Even) Money Line WINNER at +100 over NOR, 47-14

2-team parlay-Money Line on
MIN (+140) & AZ (+130) WINNER, both Vikes & Cards win SU
Also, Filter King of the FFHL posted a 1-6 record ATS in the FFHL pool, but he survived a tough betting weekend of underdog domination by going 9-12 ATS with his Vegas bets [3-5 ATS NFL; 6-7 ATS college], including a parlay win with Arizona Cardinals (+3) and the OVER (43.5), as they won in Seattle 39-32.

And we got one Vegas bet placed for Tommy Boy of the FFHL, and it was a “longshot” that ended up being a winner, but it wasn’t easy. The bet was: DETROIT LIONS money line (i.e., must win game SU-outright); that is, the Lions had to win in Green Bay for the first time since 1991. The Lions finally prevailed over the Packers (barely), and the +450 bet (9-to-2 odds) was a winner.

FOOTBALL NEWS and MINUTIA

NFL – RACE FOR THE #1 OVERALL DRAFT PICK

The #1 overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft is still up for grabs, especially because the previously “favored” Detroit Lions won at Green Bay on Sunday.

Here is the latest list of contenders:
Cleveland 2-8
Detroit 2-7
Baltimore 2-7
Dallas 2-7
San Diego 2-7
Tennessee 2-7
Jacksonville 3-6
SF 3-6

NFL INJURIES
DEN QB Peyton Manning has been struggling with injuries (foot, ribs, throwing shoulder). He now has been diagnosed with a partially torn plantar fascia in his foot and will be out of the lineup for the Broncos’ Week #11 game at Chicago. He played into the 3rd quarter on Sunday, but then was replaced by backup Brock Osweiler (6’8”, 4th year out of Arizona State).
The wounded Manning looked horrible in his home game vs. Kansas City, and put up some pathetic statistics, reportedly the worst performance of his NFL career:
5 completions in 20 attempts for 35 passing yards and 4 interceptions (see Quiz Question)
Ironically, when he completed a 4-yard pass early in the game, he eclipsed the all-time NFL record for passing yards previously held by Brett Favre (71,838 yards).

Following are some of his all-time NFL career records:
PASSING YARDS 71,871
TD PASSES 539
300-yard PASSING GAMES 93
WINS AS QB STARTER 186 (tied for 1st with Favre)

UPDATE FOR WEEK #11: Osweiler will start in Week #11; backup will be Trevor Siemian, a 23-year old rookie out of Northwestern, the #250 overall pick in the 2015 NFL Draft.

DAL linebacker Sean Lee is injured again; he suffered a concussion in Week #9 and is considered “doubtful” for Week #10; Lee ended up not playing.
DAL Cowboys’ QB Tony Romo is expected to be back for Week #11.
UPDATE: Romo will start at Miami on Sunday; and so will LB Sean Lee. QB Brandon Weeden was cut by the Cowboys after its Week #10 loss at Tampa Bay.

PHI QB Sam Bradford suffered an injury in the 3rd quarter of Sunday’s game against Miami. He was replaced by backup Mark Sanchez and didn’t return to the game.
UPDATE for WEEK#11: Bradford suffered a concussion and a non-throwing shoulder AC joint strain and will likely not start in Week #11 and maybe not in Week #12 either, a Thanksgiving Day game the next Thursday (short week).
PIT Steelers’ QB Ben Roethlisberger didn’t start on Sunday, yielding to backup Landry Jones. But Jones was injured early in the game, and Big Ben entered the game and finished off the visiting CLE Browns, 30-9.
UPDATE for WEEK#11: Pittsburgh has a “bye” week.

NE Patriots WR Julian Edelman suffered a foot injury in Week #10 at the NY Giants. He will have surgery and possibly be ready to return for the postseason.

HOU Texans QB Brian Hoyer left the Monday night game in Cincinnati in the 3rd quarter and he is being evaluated under the concussion protocol. He was replaced by backup T.J. Yates, who threw the only TD pass of the game by either team and led Houston to victory. Oddly, Yates had beaten the CIN Bengals twice as a rookie during the 2011 season, including a first-round playoff win that was the Texans' first-ever victory in the postseason.

COACHING CHANGE
The New Orleans Saints, with statistically the worst defense in the NFL, fired defensive coordinator Rob Ryan. He has been replaced by Dennis Allen, who had been the Saints’ senior defensive assistant. Allen was previously the HC for the Oakland Raiders (2012, 2013, four games in 2014).

LOOKING AHEAD – selected games, not the full slate

COLLEGE FOOTBALL - FFHL WEEK #11 (college FB’s 12th week)
Tuesday Toledo (+7) at Bowling Green
Nov 17th Ball State (+9) at Ohio U.

Wednesday Western Michigan (+3) at Northern Illinois
Nov 18th Central Michigan (-10h) at Kent State

Thursday East Carolina (-15) at Central Florida
Nov 19th Louisiana-Monroe (+6h) at Texas State

Friday Cincinnati (-2h) at South Florida
Nov 20th Air Force (+12) at Boise State

Saturday TOP 25 MATCHUPS:
Nov 21st AP#9 Michigan State (+13) at AP#2 Ohio State
AP#10 Baylor (+1) at AP#4 Oklahoma State
AP#11 TCU (no line yet) at AP#7 Oklahoma TCU QB & WR ???
AP#17 LSU (+4) at AP#25 Mississippi
AP#20 Northwestern (+11) at AP#21 Wisconsin
AP#22 USC (+4h) at AP#23 Oregon

Other ranked teams in action:
Wake Forest (+29h) at AP#1 Clemson
FCS#8 Charleston Southern at AP#3 Alabama Cupcake late in year
Boston College (+16h) vs. AP#5 Notre Dame at neutral site-Fenway Park
Purdue (+21) at AP#6 Iowa
Florida Atlantic (+31) at AP#8 Florida
AP#12 North Carolina (-6h) at Virginia Tech
AP#13 Houston (no line yet) at Connecticut
AP#14 Michigan (-4) at Penn State
California (+11) at AP#15 Stanford
FCS#9 Chattanooga at AP#16 Florida State Cupcake late in year
UCLA (+2) at AP#18 Utah
AP#19 Navy (-12) at Tulsa
Colorado (+14h) at AP#24 Washington State

Others:
Memphis (-2) at Temple
Arizona (no line yet) at Arizona State
Mississippi State (+3h) at Arkansas
Georgia Southern (+14h) at Georgia
Iowa State (+6) at Kansas State
Georgia Tech (+1) at Miami of Florida
Illinois (+5) at Minnesota
Louisville (+2) at Pittsburgh
Tennessee (-8h) at Missouri
Duke (+2h) at Virginia
FCS#24 The Citadel at South Carolina Another SEC cupcake game

Tuesday Ohio U. at Northern Illinois
Nov 24th Bowling Green at Ball State

NFL WEEK #11 – SELECTED GAMES
BYE WEEKS: CLE, NOR, NYG, PIT
This is the last week for teams getting a “bye”

Thursday Tennessee (+2h) at Jacksonville
Nov 19th

Sunday Divisional Matchups:
Nov 22 nd Green Bay (+1) at Minnesota Key NFC North battle
San Francisco (-12h) at Seattle
Kansas City (-3) at San Diego

Others:
Indianapolis (+6) at Atlanta Two struggling teams collide
Dallas (-1) at Miami Cowboys’ QB Romo is back
Cincinnati (+2h) at Arizona Super Bowl preview???
Washington (+7) at Carolina Can Panthers stay unbeaten?

Monday Buffalo (+7) at New England
Nov 23rd

FOOTBALL QUIZ QUESTIONS


QUESTION #1: Peyton Manning had his worst game as a professional quarterback on Sunday, with only 5 completions to go along with 4 interceptions. Only two other QB’s have done that poorly in a single game in the last 30 years (five or less completions, at least 4 INT’s). Try to name those two quarterbacks.

HINT: No, it wasn’t Tim Tebow.

HINT: Both of those previous ugly performances happened in 1986.

HINT: One is a Hall of Famer; the other is obscure (while playing for SD Chargers).

QUESTION #2: MIN Vikings RB Adrian Peterson rushed for 203 yards in Week #10 at Oakland. It was the sixth 200-yard rushing game of his career, tying the all-time NFL record. Which running back also had six 200-yard rushing games in his career?

HINT: He is a Hall of Famer who played mostly in the 1970’s.




ANSWER #1:
Warren Moon for the Houston Oilers, and Tom Flick for San Diego.

ANSWER #2:
OJ Simpson

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